By Chinwendu Obienyi and Chukwuma Umeorah
Despite significant challenges currently hurting the economy, investors trading on the floor of Nigeria’s stock market gained a total of N15.25 trillion in the first five months of 2024, Daily Sun investigations reveal.
The gain is coming amid the spate of insecurity, rising inflation, hikes in Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s monetary policy rate (MPR), among other macroeconomic challenges and global uncertainties.
According to data obtained from the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX)’s website, market capitalisation – the value of listed equities, which opened the year at N40.917 trillion, closed the month of May at N56.172 trillion, representing 37.3 per cent or N15.25 trillion gain.
Similarly, the NGX All Share Index (ASI) increased to 99,300.38 basis points, about 24,526.61 or 32.8 per cent Year-to-Date (YtD) performance from 74,773.77 basis points it closed for trading 2023.
At 32.8 per cent growth in major market index, the Nigerian stock market still maintains its position as the most performing Exchange in Africa.
Also, the management of the Exchange has enforced compliance, transparency and a market friendly environment that continues to impact heavy participation in stock trading by both local and foreign investors.
Since the beginning of 2024, the stock market has witnessed an unprecedented rally and buying interest, especially in the industrial goods, oil & gas sector and consumer and sub-sector, which has continued to trigger massive bargain hunting in large company shares.
For instance, the NGX Industrial Index has gained 73.08 per cent YtD to 4,694.42 basis points as of May 2024, while NGX Consumer Goods Index appreciated by 39.5 per cent to close at 1,564.19 basis points.
This is because investors took position in Dangote Cement Plc, hence influencing the 73.08 per cent YtD growth in NGX Industrial Index.
For example, the stock price of Dangote Cement has appreciated to N656.70 per share as of May 2024, about 105.28 per cent growth from N319.9 per share the stock opened for trading this year.
Among the top index performance was NGX Oil/Gas Index that gained 24.07 per cent YtD performance to 1,294.16 basis points and NGX Insurance Index that gained 14.17 per cent to close May 2024 at 367.23 basis points.
However, amid reforms in the banking sector, the NGX Banking Index dropped by 11.13 per cent to close May 2024 at 797.37 basis points as investors traded listed banking stocks with caution.
Reacting to the development, capital market analysts have attributed the stock market performance in five months to mixed corporate first quarter ended March 2024 earnings by listed companies, the federal government’s reforms in the foreign exchange market, and fuel subsidy removal.
The Vice President, Highcap Securities Limited, David Adonri, stated that investors traded based on sentiment.
Adonri stated that the emergence of Bola Tinubu as president further energised the stock market, since market participants had confidence in his ability to rejig the economy and implement economy-friendly policies.
Adnori was also optimistic that the stock market might maintain its positive momentum in the second quarter of 2024, against the backdrop of banking sector recapitalisation that is expected to trigger investors buying rights issues from listed banks.
Amid the hike in MPR to 26.25 per cent, capital market experts stated that its impact had created sentiment trading among investors who saw the fixed-income market as an alternative investment opportunity to hedge against double-digit inflation.
At the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Olayemi Cardoso, stated that the key focus of the Committee remained to achieve price stability by effectively using tools available to the monetary authority to rein in inflation.
Nigeria’s headline inflation rate continued to climb to 33.69 per cent in April 2024, its highest since March 1996, up from 33.2 per cent in the prior month.
This marks the 16th consecutive month of acceleration in inflation, partly because of renewed weakness in the naira coupled with the removal of fuel subsidies.
An investment banker and stockbroker, Tajudeen Olayinka, stated that the drive by many investors to hedge against inflationary spirals put their buy interests in equity.
Olayinka stated, “This development demonstrates by simultaneous rise in interest rates and equity prices. Beyond this analogy, the economy is still grossly awash with Godwin Emefiele’s N30 trillion illegally printed for the use of former President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration.
So, there is excess liquidity in the system, chasing fewer profitable investment opportunities in the economy.”
